Workshop on Prediction Markets
The Prediction Markets Workshop will be held on December 12–13, 2024, at the Maison des Sciences Économiques, 6th floor, 112 Boulevard de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris. The event is organized by Christos A. Ioannou (Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne).
Thursday, December 12, 2024
09:15–09:30 – Registration
09:30–09:45 – Organizer’s Welcome
Session 1: Chair – Dominik Schmidt
09:45–10:30 – Managerial Ownership and Moral Hazard – Ro’i Zultan
10:30–11:15 – How Manipulable are Prediction Markets – Itzhak Rasooly
11:15–11:30 – Coffee Break
Session 2: Chair – Spyros Galanis
11:30–12:15 – The Challenge of Return Forecasting: Patterns in Overprecision – Doron Sonsino
12:15–13:00 – Prediction and Decision Markets for Replications – Anna Dreber Almenberg
13:00–14:30 – Lunch (2nd floor)
Session 3: Chair – Neophytos Lambertides
14:30–15:15 – Price Formation in Field Prediction Markets: The Wisdom in the Crowd – Frederik Bossaerts
15:15–16:00 – Information Aggregation with Costly Information Acquisition – Sergei Mikhalishchev
18:15 – Dinner at Bateaux Parisiens
Friday, December 13, 2024
Session 4: Chair – Peter Bossaerts
09:30–10:15 – On the Endogeneity between Stock Market Prices and Bank Runs – Todd Kaplan
10:15–11:00 – On the Dynamics of Wealth of a Large Population of Heterogeneous Gamblers – Giulio Bottazzi
11:00–11:15 – Coffee Break
Session 5: Chair – Lenos Trigeorgis
11:15–12:00 – Valuing Algorithms Over Experts: Evidence from a Stock Price Forecasting Experiment – Nobuyuki Hanaki
12:00–12:45 – Bubbles in Asset Markets and the Heterogeneity of Beliefs – Charles Noussair
12:45–14:00 – Lunch (2nd floor)
19:30 – Dinner at Mavrommatis Restaurant