Atelier sur les marchés prédictifs
L’Atelier sur les marchés prédictifs se tiendra les 12 et 13 décembre 2024 à la Maison des Sciences Économiques, 6e étage, 112 Boulevard de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris. L’événement est organisé par Christos A. Ioannou (Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne).
Thursday, December 12, 2024
09:15–09:30 – Registration
09:30–09:45 – Organizer’s Welcome
Session 1: Chair – Dominik Schmidt
09:45–10:30 – Managerial Ownership and Moral Hazard – Ro’i Zultan
10:30–11:15 – How Manipulable are Prediction Markets – Itzhak Rasooly
11:15–11:30 – Coffee Break
Session 2: Chair – Spyros Galanis
11:30–12:15 – The Challenge of Return Forecasting: Patterns in Overprecision – Doron Sonsino
12:15–13:00 – Prediction and Decision Markets for Replications – Anna Dreber Almenberg
13:00–14:30 – Lunch (2nd floor)
Session 3: Chair – Neophytos Lambertides
14:30–15:15 – Price Formation in Field Prediction Markets: The Wisdom in the Crowd – Frederik Bossaerts
15:15–16:00 – Information Aggregation with Costly Information Acquisition – Sergei Mikhalishchev
18:15 – Dinner at Bateaux Parisiens
Friday, December 13, 2024
Session 4: Chair – Peter Bossaerts
09:30–10:15 – On the Endogeneity between Stock Market Prices and Bank Runs – Todd Kaplan
10:15–11:00 – On the Dynamics of Wealth of a Large Population of Heterogeneous Gamblers – Giulio Bottazzi
11:00–11:15 – Coffee Break
Session 5: Chair – Lenos Trigeorgis
11:15–12:00 – Valuing Algorithms Over Experts: Evidence from a Stock Price Forecasting Experiment – Nobuyuki Hanaki
12:00–12:45 – Bubbles in Asset Markets and the Heterogeneity of Beliefs – Charles Noussair
12:45–14:00 – Lunch (2nd floor)
19:30 – Dinner at Mavrommatis Restaurant